Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.536968 0.593860 0.656187 0.729879 0.815073 0.911004 1.027953
2025-05-25 0.437761 0.514224 0.605198 0.722890 0.873319 1.062259 1.322661
2025-06-01 0.378676 0.462923 0.568894 0.714908 0.915718 1.189898 1.607106
2025-06-08 0.337122 0.424612 0.539406 0.705542 0.947891 1.302636 1.891104
2025-06-15 0.316011 0.408945 0.535696 0.727800 1.024412 1.489762 2.334157
2025-06-22 0.286774 0.378368 0.506837 0.708275 1.032911 1.570368 2.618736
2025-06-29 0.266837 0.358505 0.490516 0.704363 1.063734 1.691643 3.011883
2025-07-06 0.243513 0.331512 0.460710 0.675125 1.047020 1.724406 3.236382
2025-07-13 0.235301 0.325891 0.462312 0.696121 1.119387 1.936055 3.921903
2025-07-20 0.227577 0.320205 0.463000 0.715231 1.190902 2.162017 4.739179
2025-07-27 0.218410 0.311470 0.457850 0.723293 1.242350 2.357809 5.572919
2025-08-03 0.204668 0.294538 0.437842 0.702431 1.233019 2.415510 6.036662
2025-08-10 0.191230 0.277650 0.417312 0.679810 1.219634 2.468056 6.541286
2025-08-17 0.180987 0.265377 0.403807 0.669251 1.231011 2.587075 7.360170
2025-08-24 0.172181 0.254869 0.392479 0.661561 1.247408 2.724130 8.351003
2025-08-31 0.164044 0.244944 0.381381 0.653059 1.260560 2.856727 9.438023
2025-09-07 0.160863 0.243112 0.384423 0.673113 1.343801 3.216423 11.930975
2025-09-14 0.152565 0.232041 0.369933 0.655516 1.332834 3.288516 13.047802
2025-09-21 0.146832 0.225079 0.362496 0.651989 1.356682 3.480862 15.113039
2025-09-28 0.138517 0.213188 0.345146 0.625602 1.317640 3.451791 15.748736
2025-10-05 0.136588 0.212395 0.348531 0.644554 1.401481 3.882259 20.356566
2025-10-12 0.134508 0.211198 0.351024 0.661787 1.484344 4.349029 26.482048
2025-10-19 0.131374 0.207919 0.349236 0.669052 1.540565 4.739195 33.155829